15,962 matching drops
#1174313 2026-07-07 16:25
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487412 2025-12-19 22:22
i think at this level of abstraction nobody is taking it on
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487411 2025-12-19 22:21
whether cars, ice cream cones, gemini pro, ethereum etc
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487410 2025-12-19 22:21
we have to use all real world tools
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487409 2025-12-19 22:21
if we want to be competitive in the real world
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487407 2025-12-19 22:21
remember everything we are doing is at one level up of absraction
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487405 2025-12-19 22:20
i don't mean an decentralized AI
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487402 2025-12-19 22:18
but I want the decentralized version to exist
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487399 2025-12-19 22:17
and almost all of those will be competing via centralized entities
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487398 2025-12-19 22:17
it will be a race among the 0.00001% of people
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487397 2025-12-19 22:17
99.9999% of people will do nothing useful with the tech
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487385 2025-12-19 22:01
need to just get the fundamentals right before then
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487384 2025-12-19 22:00
when we will be able to go very aggressively on the tech side
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487383 2025-12-19 22:00
the moment is going to come soon enough
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487382 2025-12-19 21:59
is how much leverage a small group of people are going to have with AIs
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487381 2025-12-19 21:59
i do think one of the differences between my views now and views in 2020-2021 (that were pre modern LLMs)
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487380 2025-12-19 21:59
the AIs will help us accelerate feature rollouts
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487379 2025-12-19 21:58
so I think we have provenance and meaning
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487377 2025-12-19 21:56
and there is a big dropoff after that
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487373 2025-12-19 21:56
you need provenance and network effects
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487372 2025-12-19 21:56
why wouldn't ASI be able to clone it and do it better
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487371 2025-12-19 21:56
I think it is not cool feature chain #10
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487370 2025-12-19 21:55
my mental model for what is valuable post ASI remains as is (all with all the relevant caveats) - prestige real estate - valuable real world data sources (e.g. hospitals) - BTC and NFTs - maybe ETH
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487368 2025-12-19 21:54
but meaning and provenance are not affected
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487367 2025-12-19 21:54
"features" will become a commodity
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487365 2025-12-19 21:54
I think progressively better coding agents but not ASI will be very helpful to us
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487363 2025-12-19 21:52
it will come during DJT's term
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487361 2025-12-19 21:52
but if we have to go progressively it helps to know where the safe harbor is
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487359 2025-12-19 21:52
in principle if we could make the leap in 1 giant step, you don't need the clarity act and maybe we don't
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487358 2025-12-19 21:51
the only true and proper version of decentralization is one where we don't have to worry who wins the USA elections
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487357 2025-12-19 21:51
but by then, we use Clarity as stepping stone and aim to be fully decentralized in any case
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487355 2025-12-19 21:50
and that we get a politicized stupider approach to crypto from next SEC
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487354 2025-12-19 21:50
and I think it is possible that the Republicans lose after DJT
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487353 2025-12-19 21:50
It is perfect timing. I want to see what the Clarity Act looks like in final form to make sure we meet its requirements. If SEC had stayed as it was, I would have been thinking about ways to launch elsewhere, but it is preferable to do this under the banner of 'merica if possible
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487350 2025-12-19 21:48
The relevant window we need to hit is: 1. After the Clarity Act 2. Before President AOC
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487348 2025-12-19 21:48
on #1, there is still a level of systems thinking that I have that I have not yet found someone else that I think could take it from 0 to 1 in my absence, but once it is out in the world, it is a lot easier for others to help
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487343 2025-12-19 21:46
1. Me getting run over by a bus before we decentralize 2. Nothing else IMHO
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar Reply #487340 2025-12-19 21:45
Ask me about what it looks like to do accounting for 258 addresses and also every single mint of the memes is a tax event (not each card, each mint)
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487336 2025-12-19 21:43
so I am a combination of "extraordinarily compliant and corporate on that type of thing" and "extraordinarily risk taking on thesis"
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487329 2025-12-19 21:41
the securities law, howey test issues are all over here
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487327 2025-12-19 21:40
"buy NFT and send it to the SAFE"
punk6529 Maybe's Dive Bar #487324 2025-12-19 21:40
but its actual operations are much simpler